As 2024 US Election Nears, Former President Donald Trump Leads Big in Key Swing States, Polls Show

In a final-days poll for the 2024 US election by AtlasIntel, former President Donald Trump is reportedly leading Vice President Kamala Harris across critical swing states.

The poll, which surveyed likely American voters, shows the Republican nominee edging out Harris in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—states pivotal to deciding the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

Trump Holds Margins Outside Error in Four States

The poll indicates that Trump holds his strongest lead in Arizona, where he is ahead by 52.3% to 45.8% over Harris.

Similarly, in Nevada, he has a 51.2% to 46% advantage. Trump’s campaign also shows strength in North Carolina, where he leads 50.5% to 47.1%, and Georgia, with a 50.1% to 47.6% margin.

Notably, these leads are outside the poll’s two-point margin of error, signaling a potentially solid standing for the former president in these battlegrounds.

Closer Contests in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania

Several swing states remain within the margin of error, making them true toss-ups.

In Michigan, Trump holds 49.7% to Harris’s 48.2%, while in Pennsylvania, the spread is 49.6% to 47.8%. Wisconsin is the closest race, with Trump narrowly ahead by 49.7% to Harris’s 48.6%.

Across these seven states, Trump is leading with an overall margin of 49% compared to Harris’s 47.2%, according to AtlasIntel.

AtlasIntel’s Polling Record

AtlasIntel, which accurately predicted outcomes in swing states within the margin of error during the 2020 election cycle, suggests its data remains a reliable indicator for swing-state trends.

With only days left before the 5 November election, both campaigns are making final appeals to voters, particularly in these tight battlegrounds.

Further, Rasmussen has also forecast in its final national poll of the 2024 US election that Trump has a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.

Final Campaign Push For 2024 US Election

Vice President Kamala Harris is actively urging her supporters to vote, emphasizing the importance of turnout as the election nears.

“We’re going to get this done, but nobody can sit by the sidelines,” Harris told a crowd in Wisconsin.

“You don’t want to look back on these four days and have any regrets about what you could have done.”

On the other hand, Trump, addressing his supporters in Michigan, stated, “Just pretend that we’re one point down. We’re not. We’re up. But pretend that we’re one point down on Tuesday.”

Trump underscored that the stakes of the election couldn’t be higher.

Both candidates’ schedules reflect their urgency to secure key states.

Harris has planned stops across Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan over the weekend, followed by an election-eve blitz in Pennsylvania, where 19 electoral votes are up for grabs.

Trump’s itinerary includes rallies in Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, with a side stop in Virginia—a state that, though leaning Democratic in recent years, remains a point of interest.

The Stakes Remain High as Election Day Approaches

As both campaigns enter the final weekend before the election, swing states are shaping up to be decisive in determining the next president of the United States.

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